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Laboratory Management |
1
Central Laboratory, University Central Hospital of Turku/Mircit (Medical Informatics Research Centre in Turku), FIN-20521 Turku, Finland.
Departments of
2
Clinical Chemistry and
3
Statistics, University of Turku, FIN-20500 Turku,
Finland.
a Author for correspondence. Fax 358-2-2613920; e-mail arja.virtanen{at}utu.fi.
Regression analysis is the method of choice for the production of
covariate-dependent reference limits. There are currently no
recommendations on what sample size should be used when
regression-based reference limits and confidence intervals are
calculated. In this study we used Monte Carlo simulation to study a
reference sample group of 374 age-dependent hemoglobin values. From
this sample, 5000 random subsamples, with replacement, were constructed
with 10220 observations per sample. Regression analysis was used to
estimate age-dependent 95% reference intervals for hemoglobin
concentrations and erythrocyte counts. The maximum difference between
mean values of the root mean square error and original values for
hemoglobin was 0.05 g/L when the sample size was
60. The parameter
estimators and width of reference intervals changed negligibly from the
values calculated from the original sample regardless of what sample
size was used. SDs and CVs for these factors changed rapidly up to a
sample size of 30; after that changes were smaller. The largest and
smallest absolute differences in root mean square error and width of
reference interval between sample values and values calculated from the
original sample were also evaluated. As expected, differences were
largest in small sample sizes, and as sample size increased differences
decreased. To obtain appropriate reference limits and confidence
intervals, we propose the following scheme: (a) check
whether the assumptions of regression analysis can be fulfilled
with/without transformation of data; (b) check that the
value of v, which describes how the covariate value is
situated in relation to both the mean value and the spread of the
covariate values, does not exceed 0.1 at minimum and maximum covariate
positions; and (c) if steps 1 and 2 can be accepted, the
reference limits with confidence intervals can be produced by
regression analysis, and the minimum acceptable sample size will be
~70.
The following articles in journals at HighWire Press have cited this article:
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M Thompson, A Harnden, R Perera, R Mayon-White, L Smith, D McLeod, and D Mant Deriving temperature and age appropriate heart rate centiles for children with acute infections Arch. Dis. Child., May 1, 2009; 94(5): 361 - 365. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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D. Zurakowski, J. Di Canzio, and J. A. Majzoub Pediatric Reference Intervals for Serum Thyroxine, Triiodothyronine, Thyrotropin, and Free Thyroxine Clin. Chem., July 1, 1999; 45(7): 1087 - 1091. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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E. M Wright and P. Royston Calculating reference intervals for laboratory measurements Statistical Methods in Medical Research, April 1, 1999; 8(2): 93 - 112. [Abstract] [PDF] |
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