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Clinical Chemistry 47: 2137-2145, 2001;
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(Clinical Chemistry. 2001;47:2137-2145.)
© 2001 American Association for Clinical Chemistry, Inc.


Articles

Effect of Outliers and Nonhealthy Individuals on Reference Interval Estimation

Paul S. Horn1a, Lan Feng2, Yanmei Li3 and Amadeo J. Pesce4

1 Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH 45221-0025.

2 Mount Carmel Health System, Columbus, OH 43222.

3 HGO Technology, Wheeling, WV 26003.

4 Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, OH 45267-0714.

aAuthor for correspondence. Fax 513-556-3417; e-mail paul.horn{at}uc.edu.

Background: Improvement in reference interval estimation using a new outlier detection technique, even with a physician-determined healthy sample, is examined. The effect of including physician-determined nonhealthy individuals in the sample is evaluated.

Methods: Traditional data transformation coupled with robust and exploratory outlier detection methodology were used in conjunction with various reference interval determination techniques. A simulation study was used to examine the effects of outliers on known reference intervals. Physician-defined healthy groups with and without nonhealthy individuals were compared on real data.

Results: With 5% outliers in simulated samples, the described outlier detection techniques had narrower reference intervals. Application of the technique to real data provided reference intervals that were, on average, 10% narrower than those obtained when outlier detection was not used. Only 1.6% of the samples were identified as outliers and removed from reference interval determination in both the healthy and combined samples.

Conclusions: Even in healthy samples, outliers may exist. Combining traditional and robust statistical techniques provide a good method of identifying outliers in a reference interval setting. Laboratories in general do not have a well-defined healthy group from which to compute reference intervals. The effect of nonhealthy individuals in the computation increases reference interval width by ~10%. However, there is a large deviation among analytes.




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